Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $716,759$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{682,142.3}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 124.9)}}\) (asimptote \(682,142.3\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $19,008$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18,442.5}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 125.9)}}\) (asimptote \(18,442.5\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $51,030$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,423$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,371.0}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 201.3)}}\) (asimptote \(13,371.0\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $94$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{268.9}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 248.7)}}\) (asimptote \(268.9\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $874$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $57,223$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{73,282.0}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 188.0)}}\) (asimptote \(73,282.0\))
Start date 2020-04-02 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $801$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,031.3}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 179.7)}}\) (asimptote \(1,031.3\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,907$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $199,745$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{441,271.4}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 230.9)}}\) (asimptote \(441,271.4\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,373$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,093.4}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 212.8)}}\) (asimptote \(6,093.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $30,450$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $52,399$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $983$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $46,384$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,541$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,353.7}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 69.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,353.7\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{59.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 58.8)}}\) (asimptote \(59.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $71$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $106,707$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102,394.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 97.7)}}\) (asimptote \(102,394.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,211$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,945.3}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 102.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,945.3\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,515$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,079$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,226.6}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 108.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,226.6\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $83$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85.1}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 74.5)}}\) (asimptote \(85.1\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34$ on 2020-10-26